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« The CSN Way: Woof, Woof, WoofFCS Recap: The Scores »

Permalink 11/23/08 , The CSN Way, CSN Columns

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The CSN Way: The Long, Painful Wait

floated rightBy Chuck Burton, The CSN Way Columnist

The games have all been played. At this point teams can’t do anything more than politic and point at their body of work to argue that they should be into the field as an at-large entrant. There is no more working on the resume.

In essence, the long, Sunday waiting game for the official playoff selection show, 7-7:30 on ESPNU, has now begun.

...

What Happened On The Last Weekend of the year?

We won’t know exactly how the games affected the playoff committee until the selections are made, but here’s the opinion of one nation Football Championship Subdivision columnist as to how the final weekend shook out the playoff field.

  • Cal Poly might look seed-worthy. Even with a loss, the Mustang’s narrow loss to 7-5 Wisconsin (35-34 in overtime) has to have impressed committee members enough to put them in the conversation for being a seed. But would they be in line behind Montana (who beat them during the regular season?)
  • Weber State fell from seed contention. I thought the game versus Eastern Washington was dangerous for the Wildcats - especially after a week off - and their 33-28 loss to the Eagles means that 10-2 Weber State is probably now off the list of possible seeded teams - and may even have lost a shot at a home game, unless they outbid one of the twelve unseeded teams.
  • Southern Illinois did themselves no favors. They win the autobid from the tough Missouri Valley Football conference with their win over 4-7 Illinois State, but with only a 17-10 overtime squeaker, they may have failed to close the argument to getting a seed.
  • Three CAA at-large teams. For fans of William & Mary and Maine, I believe your bubble has burst. At 8-4, Maine’s 28-24 loss to New Hampshire means the Black Bears were unable to beat any teams bound for the playoffs. 7-4 William & Mary has a slightly better resume with a win over New Hampshire - but I don’t think the 7 D-I win teams are going to get to the bargaining table.
  • Elon is still a bubble team. It seems heartbreaking to not include an 8-4 Elon team that was in the Top 10 most of the year and was on the brink of a SoCon championship, but I believe their resounding 26-3 loss to Liberty may just have eliminated them. Although they have 8 D-I wins, they’ve lost three of their last four games - including double-digit losses to Wofford and now Liberty - and historically, that’s been bad news for your playoff chances.
  • Liberty is in. Conversely, the 10-2 Flames just made the 8 D-I win plateau with their 26-3 win over the Phoenix - and also in the process jumped in line for an at-large playoff spot ahead of Elon. They got their marquee win; despite their loss to 4-7 Presbyterian, I think they should be in the field of 16.
  • It was not a day of chaos. If you were a Jacksonville State fan, Florida A&M fan, or a fan of a team with only 7 D-I wins that was hoping for a little chaos and having your team squeak in to the field, you’re probably out of luck. A strong CAA, a strong Cal Poly - and now a strong Liberty - probably doomed your slim chances at an at-large.

Keep in mind that I don’t have the speed-dials of the members of the FCS Playoff committee; this is simply just one guy’s opinion as to what happened yesterday.

Below are the revised picks of the CSN Staff.

The Pickers:
Ralph Wallace, CSN Grand Poobah
Chuck Burton, The CSN Way Columnist
Bruce Dowd, The CAA Today Columnist
Jason Plotkin, CSN Down South Columnist

Seeds:
Ralph: No. 1 James Madison, No. 2 Appalachian State, No. 3 Villanova, No. 4 Montana
Chuck: No. 1 James Madison, No. 2 Appalachian State, No. 3 Villanova, No. 4 Montana
Bruce: No. 1 James Madison, No. 2 Appalachian State, No. 3 Villanova, No. 4 Montana
Jason: No. 1 James Madison, No. 2 Appalachian State, No. 3 Montana, No. 4 Southern Illinois

Brackets:

Ralph Wallace, CSN Poobah:

Upper Bracket

Liberty @ #1 James Madison
Wofford @ South Carolina State

Texas State @ #4 Montana
Weber State @ Cal Poly

Lower Bracket

Richmond @ #2 Appalachian State
Eastern Kentucky @ Southern Illinois

Colgate @ #3 Villanova
New Hampshire @ Northern Iowa

——————————————————————————–

Chuck Burton, The CSN Way Columnist

Upper Bracket

South Carolina State @ #1 James Madison
Wofford @ Liberty

Texas State @ #4 Montana
Colgate @ New Hampshire

Lower Bracket

Richmond @ #2 Appalachian State
EKU @ Northern Iowa

Southern Illinois @ #3 Villanova
Weber State @ Cal Poly (ESPN game)

———————————————————————————–

Bruce Dowd, The CAA Today Columnist

Upper Bracket

Liberty @ #1 James Madison
South Carolina State @ Wofford

Texas State @ #4 Montana
Colgate @ New Hampshire

Lower Bracket

Richmond @ #2 Appalachian State
EKU @ Northern Iowa

Southern Illinois @ #3 Villanova
Weber State @ Cal Poly

————————————————————————————-

Jason Plotkin, CSN Down South Columnist

Upper Bracket

Liberty @ #1 James Madison
Wofford @ South Carolina State

Eastern Kentucky @ #4 Southern Illinois
Colgate @ Villanova

Lower Bracket

Richmond @ #2 Appalachian State
Weber State @ Northern Iowa

New Hampshire @ #3 Montana
Texas State @ Cal Poly